The Federal Reserve (Fed)
The Fed sets the US benchmark interest rate and meets eight times a year. A higher rate tends to cool the stock market and strengthen the dollar; a lower one tends to do the opposite. The decision matters, and so does the tone of the statement and the press conference.
Inflation (CPI)
The consumer price index (CPI) is published every month. If inflation comes in higher than expected, the market prices in high rates for longer; if lower, it tends to breathe. It is one of the releases that moves gold, tech stocks and bitcoin the most.
Jobs (NFP)
The nonfarm payrolls report (NFP) measures how many jobs were created in the month and usually comes out on the first Friday. A very strong or very weak number changes what is expected from the Fed and moves every asset at once.
The surprise is what matters
The market already prices in what is expected. What moves the price is the gap between the actual figure and the consensus: 3% inflation can be good or bad news depending on whether 2.8% or 3.2% was expected.
What INVERSHA does with this
The INVERSHA engine reads the news and measures how each type of event has reacted historically. Close to releases like the Fed, CPI or NFP it cuts the size of its purchases, and it publishes its decisions in the public record. It does not promise to be right: it observes and explains.
General information, not investment advice. Investing carries risk, including losing the money you put in.